There is scant empirical support in the literature for the Fisher effect in the long run, though it is often assumed in theoretical models. We argue that a break in the cointegrating relation introduces a spurious unit root that leads to a rejection of cointegration. We applied new break tests...

Eine modifizierte Ausgabengleichung der Federal Reserve Bank von St. Louis für Canada, Frankreich Deutschland, Italien, Großbritannien und die USA Dieser Beitrag gibt die Ausgabengleichung der Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis wieder und modifiziert sie. Die Originalschätzungen basieren auf...

Faktoren, die das Geldmengenwachstum beeinflussen: ARIMA-Vorhersagen zur monetären Basis und deren Multiplikatoren In dieser Untersuchung wird die Methode der autoregressiven, integrierten gleitenden Mittelwerte auf Vorhersagen der Geldmengenmultiplikatoren und unkontrollierten, die monetäre...

u0093Bond Market Inflation Expectation and Longer-term Trends in Broad Monetary Growth and Inflation in Industrial Countries, 1880-2001u0094 by William G. Dewald, Professor of Economics Emeritus, Ohio State University and Former Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Annual...

We study how fluctuations in money growth correlate with fluctuations in real and nominal output growth and inflation. We pick cycles from each time series that last 2 to 8 (business cycles) and 8 to 40 (longer-term cycles) years, using band-pass filters. We employ a data set from 1880 to 2001...

There is scant empirical support in the literature for the Fisher effect in the long run, though it is often assumed in theoretical models. We argue that a break in the cointegrating relation introduces a spurious unit root that leads to a rejection of cointegration. We applied new break tests...