This paper analyzes the performance of the monthly economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index in predicting recessionary regimes of the (quarterly) U.S. GDP. In this regard, the authors apply a mixed-frequency Markov-switching vector autoregressive (MF-MSVAR) model, and compare its in-sample and...

"Why do conservatives have such a hard time winning the economic debate in the court of public opinion? Simple, George Gilder says: conservatives misunderstand economics almost as badly as liberals do. Republicans have been running on tax cut proposals since the era of Harding and Coolidge...

Because of continuing Inflation and rising unemployment, Americans were beginning to feel rather frustrated with the Nlxon Administration for their non-actions on the economic front. As an answer to this growing feeling of anxiety the US-President introduced an economic programme which has...