This paper addresses the question of whether financial market participants apply the framework of Taylor-type rules in their forecasts for the G7 countries. To this end, we use the Consensus Economic Forecast poll providing us a unique data set of inflation rate, interest rate and growth rate...

In this paper we use data from the Consensus Economics forecast poll to explore the strategic behavior of private sector forecasters with respect to forecasts published by the IMF and the OECD. We focus on four key macroeconomic variables for the G7 countries to analyze whether private sector...

This paper focuses on the allocation and growth effects of different types of subsidies aimed at rectifying the two distortions that occur in research-driven growth models of the Romer (1990) type. These distortions lead to a suboptimal growth rate and are caused by the monopolistic structure of...

Traditional trade theory emphasizes static gains form trade, whereas the growing literature on endogenous growth is able to explain dynamic gains from trade, i.e., how trade influences economic growth. Empirical studies suggest that dynamic gains are likely to be significantly more important...

This paper analyzes the effects of inflation on the resource allocation between the financial sector and the manufacturing sector. We develop a model with heterogeneous workers who can be employed either in the manufacturing sector, which produces a consumption good, or the financial sector,...

Kürzlich ist die ursprünglich von James Tobin vorgeschlagene Steuer auf Devisenmarkttransaktionen wieder in die politische Diskussion gerückt. Die deutsche und die französische Regierung haben sich bereits im vergangenen Jahr positiv zur Einführung einer Tobin-Steuer geäußert. Anfang 2002...

In diesem Beitrag stellen wir zwei Modelle vor, in denen die Einführung eines lender of the last resort den Geschäftsbankensektor entscheidend beeinflusst. Im ersten Fall ist die Einführung stabilisierend, im zweiten Modell hingegen destabilisierend. Die beiden Modelle eignen sich...