This paper develops a model of the way in which information about current conditions is translated by Bayesian speculative inventory holders into forecasts of the flow of harvests, and in turn, into forecasts of prices in a competitive market system. Improvement in the information system (e.g.,...

Various two stage least squares procedures have been suggested for the estimation of the autoregressive parameter in the spatial autoregressive model of order one. These procedures are computationally convenient and so their use is "tempting". In this paper we show that these procedures are, in...

Cross sectional spatial models frequently contain a spatial lag of the dependent variable as a regressor, or a disturbance term which is spatially autoregressive. In this paper we describe a computationally simple procedure for estimating cross sectional models which contain both of these...