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The decision on EMU strongly affects the course of monetary and fiscal policies in 1997 and especially in 1998. We assume that the monetary union will start in January 1, 1999 with a sizable number of participating countries. Once the decision on the members is made in the spring of 1998, any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295013
Differenzen zwischen den nationalen Geldmarktzinsen können schon vor Beginn der einheitlichen Geldpolitik abgebaut werden, wenn … mehr und die Preiswirkungen der expansiveren Geldpolitik werden erst später in der Währungsunion auftreten und damit auf … alle Länder verteilt. Mit der insgesamt expansiveren Geldpolitik werden die europäischen Währungen gegenüber Drittwährungen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295066
The euro is a new currency, and the ECB as a new institution still has to establish its reputation. The best way to do this is for the ECB to deliver a stable money. The two-pillar strategy pursued by the ECB seems to confuse the markets because market participants are unclear about which of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295077
The cyclical situation at the beginning of the European Monetary Union (EMU) is favorable: The upswing in Euroland has firmed, unemployment is going down, and inflation is low. However, economic growth outside the new currency area has weakened significantly during 1998, and fears are mounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295088
International investors' enthusiasm with respect to growth prospects in Southeast Asia has been followed by panic. Both the outstanding economic performance of Southeast Asian economies and their ability to master adjustment challenges had led most observers of these economies to the conclusion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295099
The expansion of Western European production accelerated in the first half of 1997. Exports were the main engine, driven by a devaluation of European currencies and strong growth abroad. Domestic demand also picked up somewhat led by investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295104
Für die Teilnahme an der Währungsunion sollten nur Staaten zugelassen werden, die alle Konvergenzkriterien erfüllen. Bislang tun dies nur Deutschland, Irland und Luxemburg. In allen anderen Ländern bedarf es einschneidender Maßnahmen — insbesondere bei der Verringerung der öffentlichen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295115
The notion of new economy was coined in the United States when there was increasing evidence that, as a result of the introduction of new technologies, the traditional behavior of macroeconomic variables might have changed. The expansion of the 1990s differed from its predecessors in three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295120
Since the fall of last year, EMU countries have experienced a slowdown in economic activity triggered by a deceleration of exports. The expansion of internal demand has been more or less intact due to low interest rates and higher terms of trade. Consumer confidence has continued to rise and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295121
In ihren früheren Veröffentlichungen hatten die drei an diesem Bericht beteiligten Institute die zentrale Rolle einschneidender institutioneller Reformen für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung Rußlands betont. Mittlerweile scheint sich die Einschätzung der Institute zu bewahrheiten, daß im...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295133