This paper reports the results of experiments designed to test whether and to what extent individuals succumb to the conjunction fallacy. Using the Kahneman and Tversky (1983) experimental design, we find that given mild incentives, the proportion of individuals who violate the conjunction...

In Harsanyi's impartial observer theorem, an impartial observer determines a social ordering of the lotteries on the set of social alternatives based on a sympathetic but impartial concern for all individuals in society. This ordering is derived from a more primitive ordering on the set of all...

We present an axiomatic model depicting the choice behavior of a self-interest seeking moral individual over random allocation procedures. Individual preferences are decomposed into a self-interest component and a component representing the individual's moral value judgment. Each component has a...

Choice-theoretic definitions of subjective probabilities originated with the work of Ramsey and de Finetti and attained their definitive form in the work of Savage. These probabilities are intended to provide a numerical representation of decision-maker's beliefs regarding the likely realization...

Building upon the works of Anscombe and Aumann (1963) and Karni and Schmeidler (1981), we develop a general axiomatic theory of quantifiable beliefs - a form of probabilistic sophistication that does not preclude state-dependent preferences and does not require the reduction of compound...

Utility theory with uncertainty describes a class of models designed to formalize the manner in which a decision maker chooses among alternative courses of action when the consequences of each course of action are not known at the time the choice is made. The distinguishing characteristic of the...