This progress report focuses on Medium-Term Plan (MTP) implementation by 2011 in Kenya, including specific progress on the attainment of MDG goals. The report presents the updated MTP program for 2012–13, including the consultations and framework underpinning its preparation. The macroeconomic...

This paper develops a model incorporating asymmetric government expenditure behavior in response to a windfall revenue gain occasioned by a transitory commodity boom. The model is used to illustrate the transitional dynamics of a stylized economy during the boom period and the nature of the...

This paper reviews economic developments in Kenya during 1990–95. Real GDP growth decelerated from 4.3 percent in 1990 to close to zero in 1992/93. Inflation accelerated from 12 percent in the 12-month period ended December 1989 to 34 percent in March 1993. The central government’s budget...

In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country

The paper reviews the basis for the use of various popular exchange rate indicators by tracing their conceptual development, the links between these indicators, and how they are measured in actual practice. It also considers the difficulties often encountered in attempting to obtain empirical...

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Background: Kenya’s recent reforms have introduced a more comprehensive system of checks and balances, including accountability and transparency in expenditure control and management. In this context, the new government has taken decisive steps towards devolution supported by...

Economic activity in Kenya has remained resilient to uncertainty surrounding the elections, the impact of the European crisis, and security-related concerns. Fiscal policy is in line with the program despite difficulties. International reserves are on the rise, and the deficit of the external...

The staff report for the fourth review under the three-year arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility, request for a waiver and modification of performance criteria, prepared by a staff team of the IMF, following discussions that ended on September 25, 2012, with the officials of Kenya on...

We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for forecasting and monetary policy analysis in low-income countries and apply it to Kenya. We use the model to run several policy-relevant exercises. First, we filter international...