The Chinese economy upheld a frail recovery in 2022 under the triple superposition of contraction of demand, disruption in supply, and weakening expectations, aggravated by unanticipated adverse shocks in the midst of global turmoil. Over the year, rising income uncertainty set off by the...

This paper presents an alternative presentation of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The main thesis of this paper is that when a nation has monetary sovereignty and fiat currency, government is quite flexible its methods in controlling price level through market mechanisms, as Warren Mosler - one...

Although fiscal imbalance and its adverse effects on macro economic equilibrium in India have been receiving wide attention, the issue at States' level has not so far been adequately analyzed. In many respects, fiscal situation in States is more critical than that at the Centre as States have...

The novelty of this work is in the presentation of a theoretical framework that allows the modeling of an announced switch of the monetary regime. In our experiment, the monetary authority announces stabilization of the nominal exchange rate after the announced number of periods. We analyze the...

Income disparities by race are large and persistent in the U.S., and shifts in economic cycles often exacerbate these inequalities. Recent cycles, such as the pandemic-induced recession, offer a glimpse into how a tight labor market and targeted fiscal supports can boost broad-based economic...

This paper explores the specification and use of uncertainty measures in constructions of policy forecasts of money market activity. The concept of a policy forecast implies efforts not only to explicitly condition forecasts on assumptions regarding short-run operating procedures but also to...

The fiscal theory states that inflation adjusts so that the real value of government debt equals the present value of real primary surpluses. Monetary policy remains important. The central bank can set an interest rate target, which determines the path of expected inflation, while news about the...