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We study the out-of-sample predictability of the real price of crude oil using forecast combinations constructed from …-change forecast at horizons ranging from 1 to 24 months with statistically significant MSFE reductions and directional accuracy. In …
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economic emergencies. This paper aims to forecast the short to medium-term incidence of COVID-19 epidemic through the medium of … an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, applied to Italy, Russia, and the USA The analysis is ….worldometers.info/coronavirus/). The best ARIMA models were Italy (4,2,4), Russia (1,2,1), and the USA (6,2,3). The results showed that: i) ARIMA models …
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