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This study is the first to investigate the crossover effect of the UK’s exit from the European Union, com-monly referred to as Brexit, and the COVID-19 pandemic. First, we confirm the results of studies explor-ing Brexit and respond to critiques of the literature. By applying the synthetic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015078289
We examine the effects of World Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risk on Trade flows for 31 European economies between 1995 and 2023. To do so, we resort to Panel estimation techniques, including OLS and Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML). Our findings reveal that European nations primarily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077831
The European Union (EU) has long been accused of suffering from a “democratic deficit.” The European Parliament (EP), the only EU institution directly elected by citizens, is seen as having limited powers. Moreover, its members (MEPs) are often portrayed as unresponsive to the interests of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077837
We compute a GVAR to estimate the fiscal spillovers on output, consumption, investment, employment, and income, from 2002Q1 to 2021Q4, with 16 Euro Area (EA) countries. We found that a budget balance expansionary shock in Germany would generate positive spillovers on output and employment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077839
This paper analyses the persistence and mean reversion properties of sovereign debt and its components by applying fractional integration methods to long runs of annual data starting in 1831 for the UK and the US, in 1862 for Italy and in 1881 for France and Germany, and ending in all cases in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077843
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077513
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015077531
In the past few decades, a myriad of reforms in Europe have had a significant impact on the way and extent to which public pensions provide retirement income. This departmental paper takes stock of where European pension systems stand and assesses their key characteristics. We present a novel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336261
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015080881
Using a novel dataset that integrates inflation expectations with information on social network connections, we show that inflation expectations within one's social network have a positive, causal relationship with individual inflation expectations. This relationship is stronger for groups that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015078554