The main objective was to assess the risk of farmers in the European Union and to analyze the impact of agricultural policy changes on the main components of income namely price and production risks. In order to achieve this, qualitative considerations and quantitative analyses covering the...

This paper deals with the development of models to support postharvest grain-marketing decisions. These multi-stage decision models compute optimal closed-loop sales policies based on subjective assessments of the probability distributions of future prices. The first approach assumes that the...

This report uses a model that considers the effect of both factor and output prices on marketed surplus. To derive input demand and output supply elasticities, the normalized quadratic profit function and demand equations were estimated jointly with the seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR)...

The risks associated with farming activities are likely to increase in the future. It, therefore, appears worthwhile to analyse new risk management instruments. This paper investigates weather derivatives for which a market has already emerged in the USA. Contrary to traditional financial...

We investigated causal factors driving German hog-price dynamics with an innovative ‘diagnostic’ modeling approach. Hog-price cycles are conventionally attributed to randomly-generated behavior best modeled stochastically—most recently as randomly-shifting sinusoidal oscillations....

Recent and presumable future developments tend to increase the risks associated with farming activities. These include climate risks which have always played an important role in farming. Weather based instruments can be valuable tools to reduce the risk associate with unfavourable climatic...

Combinations of factors, including inappropriate economic policies, have contributed to the poor economic performance of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The impacts of some corrective policy measures, both on the macro economy and on the rural economy, are not very clear because they have led to...

In many areas agriculture is exposed to weather related risks. Weather derivatives that get more and more in the focus of interest can reduce these risks. In this study we develop a temperature based weather derivative and analyse how it can reduce the weather-related energy cost risk in...