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This paper uses a structural vector autoregression to examine differences in demand and supply shocks and the response to these shocks between EMU member countries and three other groups of countries. The first group includes non-EMU EU countries, the second group EFTA countries and the third...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677292
Capital controls lower the variability of the exchange rate and reduce the risk premium as well as the domestic interest rate. On the other hand, capital controls reduce the number of noise traders and, therefore, the risk-bearing capacity of the market, leading to higher interest rates and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677297
Kürzlich ist die ursprünglich von James Tobin vorgeschlagene Steuer auf Devisenmarkttransaktionen wieder in die politische Diskussion gerückt. Die deutsche und die französische Regierung haben sich bereits im vergangenen Jahr positiv zur Einführung einer Tobin-Steuer geäußert. Anfang 2002...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008677624
This paper addresses the question of whether financial market participants apply the framework of Taylor-type rules in their forecasts for the G7 countries. To this end, we use the Consensus Economic Forecast poll providing us a unique data set of inflation rate, interest rate and growth rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868332
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011035252
In this paper we use data from the Consensus Economics forecast poll to explore the strategic behavior of private sector forecasters with respect to forecasts published by the IMF and the OECD. We focus on four key macroeconomic variables for the G7 countries to analyze whether private sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005390978
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005394577
This paper focuses on the allocation and growth effects of different types of subsidies aimed at rectifying the two distortions that occur in research-driven growth models of the Romer (1990) type. These distortions lead to a suboptimal growth rate and are caused by the monopolistic structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556112
Traditional trade theory emphasizes static gains form trade, whereas the growing literature on endogenous growth is able to explain dynamic gains from trade, i.e., how trade influences economic growth. Empirical studies suggest that dynamic gains are likely to be significantly more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005556410