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Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
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In Africa, a number of countries like South Africa have adopted inflation targeting. In Nigeria, different monetary … policy regimes have been adopted over the years with rather unsatisfactory success. This study examines inflation targeting … 2016. The study unravels evidence of a significant response of inflation and squared inflation to policy interest rates in …
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We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between output, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … pronounced convex relationship between inflation and the output gap, meaning that the co-efficient in the Phillips curve on the …
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