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I explore whether time-series methods exploiting the long-run equilibrium properties of the housing market might have detected the disequilibrium in U.S. house prices which pre-dated the Great Recession as it was building up. Based on real-time data, I show that a VAR in levels identified as in...
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support for weak-form market efficiency in the real estate markets. In addition, Johansen-Juselius co-integration analysis … reveals that all three markets appear co-integrated and share a common longrun stochastic trend. Results of co-integration …
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