We present a simple dynamical model of stock index returns which is grounded on the ability of the Cyclically Adjusted Price Earning (CAPE) valuation ratio devised by Robert Shiller to predict long-horizon performances of the market. More precisely, we discuss a discrete time dynamics in which...

The book revisits the subject matter of macroeconomic theory in a two-sector disequilibrium model inspired by the structural theories of the business cycle developed by Tugan-Baranowski, Aftalion, Fanno, and Lowe. The functioning of each market is modeled following Hicks: the features of each...

This paper investigates the effectiveness of development strategies for tourism destinations. We show that resource investments unambiguously increase tourism revenues and that increasing the degree of tourism sophistication, that is increasing the variety of tourism related goods and services,...

Self-Organised Criticality (SOC) is a concept developed over the last decade from dynamic systems analysis that aims to investigate the transition trajectories of evolutionary systems. The main emphasis in SOC is on the analysis of the impact of slow exogenous forces in combination with strong...