Front Cover -- Contents -- Foreword -- A Somerset Childhood -- A London Education -- A French Experience -- Banking and Letters -- History -- Marriage and Ambition -- London and The Economist -- Spare Mind -- The American Crisis and the English Constitution -- Politics -- Political Economy --...

Cover -- Contents -- Note on Style -- 1. Double-Minded Men -- 2. "My Character & Conduct" -- 3. "That Single Word Watch" -- 4. "An Active Frame in Courts Below" -- 5. "The Sparks That Fly Upward" -- 6. Mourning, Melancholy, and Money -- 7. The Changing Meaning of God and Man -- 8. The Making of...

This paper explores whether professional macroeconomic forecasters manipulate their forecasts to influence voting outcomes. We model a referendum in which a voter chooses between two policies. The voter relies on a forecaster to learn about the macroeconomic consequences of the policies. The...

Introduction -- The Political Economy of Raw Materials in the Global Paper Industry 1861-1960 -- The Esparto Grass Trade -- The Pursuit of Wood Pulp -- Bamboo for Papermaking -- The Paper Trade and the British Empire -- A Retrospective View of the British Paper Industry -- Conclusions.