Im Jahr 2000 konnte das hohe Wachstumstempo des Vorjahres nur noch im ersten Quartal gehalten werden. Die reale Bruttoinlandsproduktion expandierte aber dank des hohen Überhangs zu Jahresbeginn noch um 4,1 %. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt verbesserte sich weiter. Die Arbeitslosenquote ging im...

Nowadays many developing countries focus on economic policies for promoting international tourism and exports expansion as a potential source of economic growth of the country. However, the understanding of the relationship between exports and economic growth is still ongoing. When treating the...

We present a medium-scale dynamic factor model to estimate and forecast the rate of growth of the Spanish economy in the very short term. The intermediate size of the model overcomes the serious specification problems associated with large scale-models and the implicit loss of information of...

Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class ofmodels for addressing questions regarding the...