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This paper examines the relationship between monetary policy and oil prices within a world oil demand and supply model … rates is a two-way relationship that depends on the type of oil shock. During a supply shock, rising oil prices caused … interest rates to increase; whereas during a demand shock, falling interest rates caused oil prices to rise. Record low …
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underline the importance of the source of an oil shock for its macroeconomic consequences. Oil supply shocks have been less …
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shocks. In the first three there was a supply shock and in 2020 a demand shock. Changes in oil consumption that are not …
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The Kilian and Murphy (2014) structural vector autoregressive model has become the workhorse model for the analysis of oil markets. I explore various refinements and extensions of this model, including the effects of (1) correcting an error in the measure of global real economic activity, (2)...
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