Showing 81 - 90 of 143
This comment discusses some errors in a recent paper by Jacobsen and Marquering [Jacobsen, B., Marquering, W., 2008. Is it the weather? Journal of Banking and Finance 32 (4), 526-540], in which the authors challenge our previous finding that stock market returns exhibit seasonal patterns...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012765625
This paper explores the importance for the measured link between money and inflation of measuring inflation from indices that include prices that, by virtue of being regulated, are unlikely to respond systematically to the forces of supply and demand. The inclusion of regulated prices for such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004699
We investigate an asset pricing model with preferences cycling between high risk aversion and low EIS in fall/winter and the reverse in spring/summer. Calibrating to consumption data and allowing plausible preference parameter values, we produce returns that match observed equity and Treasury...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053975
We document an annual cycle in the U.S. Treasury market, with variation in mean monthly returns of over 80 basis points from peak to trough. This seasonal Treasury return pattern does not arise due to macroeconomic seasonalities, seasonal variation in risk, cross-hedging between equity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020774
This paper finds that approximately one-third of the items in the CPI are governed by price regulations that can slow and add noise to the response of prices to changes in cost or demand conditions. Consequently, regulation is a possible partial explanation of sticky prices in the overall rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022337
We document a novel and striking annual cycle in the U.S. Treasury market, with a variation in mean monthly returns of over 80 basis points from peak to trough. We show that this seasonal Treasury return pattern does not arise due to macroeconomic seasonalities, seasonal variation in risk, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012709184
This paper investigates the role of seasonal affective disorder (SAD) in the seasonal time-variation of stock market returns. SAD is an extensively documented medical condition whereby the shortness of the days in fall and winter leads to depression for many people. Experimental research in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012710557
We analyze the flow of money between mutual fund categories, finding strong evidence of seasonality in investor risk aversion. Aggregate investor flow data reveal investor preference for safe mutual funds in autumn and risky funds in spring. During September alone, outflows from equity funds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037742
With different countries' price indexes being abased on different baskets of goods, measures of inflation-differentials and price-level ratios are intrinsically subject to error. These measurement errors could bias the outcome of PPP tests which include price indexes as regressors. We apply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012749795
This paper demonstrates that globalization, taking the form of a higher import component of consumption and a larger export component of GDP, is the cause of the apparent breakdown in the relationship between excess demand and inflation. Within a parsimonious empirical framework, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750583