This paper aims to show that the fiscal and monetary counter-cyclical actions implemented by Brazilian government after the financial crisis were frugal: the monetary policy was late and slowly slackened and the fiscal policy sustain a primary surplus budget, in the opposite direction of much...

This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...

This paper investigates the relationship between interest rate and volatility of real effective exchange rate in Brazil. Through a simultaneous multivariate GARCH model, which allows estimating equations for the mean and variance in a single stage, it was observed that: it's not possible to say...

This article investigates the effects of monetary policy shock in the Brazilian real state market using structural VAR through the period June/2000 to August/2010. The identification is done following the agnostic procedure suggested by Uhlig (2005). The mains results are: The stock of credit to...

The adoption of the Taylor rule is an essential element of the New Consensus on Monetary Policy, characterized by the recent acceptance, by the orthodoxy, of money stock endogeneity. In line with the reviewed literature, a reaction function of the Brazilian Central Bank (BCB) is estimated with a...

This paper aims to outline the basis for a development strategy for Brazil. Therefore, it starts from some basic premises. First, there will be no development without social mobilization. Second, development is a planning result, in which the Government plays a key role. Besides, a development...

This paper studies the determination of the surpluses of the Brazilian central government. For quarterly data from 1996 through 2011, the empirical strategy included: i) structural break models and nonlinear estimates on the level of public debt, to handle the inertia after 1999, for high levels...

The bulk of recent literature on foreign exchange interventions has overlooked the potential interdependencies that may exist between these operations and the conduct of monetary policy. This is the case even under inflation targeting and especially in emerging-market economies, because central...

This paper discusses the movement of capital flows to and from the exchange rate regimes and monetary policies of China, India, Brazil, and South Africa (CIBS). Furthermore, we compare the level of financial stability, and the composition and duration of capital flows of the countries on a...