Exchange-rate-based stabilisations, even if successful, usually lack credibility initially. This is reflected in high (ex post) real interest rates and some degree of real exchange rate appreciation. Empirical observation suggests that wage inflation declines smoothly over time whilst interest...

Recent contributions to the empirical growth literature show no tendency to convergence in specification, as researchers seek to identify new variables that can account for significant regional effects in earlier work. We conduct non-nested tests between the models of Barro (1997), Easterly and...

The median developing country has had significantly higher inflation than the median advanced country since the early 1980s. A model is presented in which a developing country may reduce inflationary expectations by pegging its exchange rate to the currency of an advanced country (or a basket of...

Recent research on exchange rate regimes has stressed the similarity amongst intermediate regimes (managed floats and "soft" pegs) rather than the traditional peg/float dichotomy. We investigate the choice of regime amongst hard pegs, soft pegs, managed floats and independent floats for a panel...

A model of portfolio capital flows is estimated for nine developing countries over the period 1980-96. The results suggest that domestic factors (changes in the investment climate in developing countries as measured by the inflation-adjusted share price index) have been more important than...

A reaction function is estimated for interest rates set by the Bank of Botswana since financial liberalisation. Interest rate changes tend to be larger and somewhat less frequent than in developed countries. Interest rates are nevertheless smoothed in the sense that successive changes tend to be...