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Growth rate of German economy normalizing after prolonged economic boom

Michelsen, Claus; Breuer, Christian; Bruns, Martin; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 8 (2018) 50/52, pp. 510-513

The German economy continues to perform well although the boom has ended. However, at 1.5 percent, German GDP will increase this year at a lower rate than expected at the beginning of the year. Nevertheless, concerns about an imminent recession should give way to the assessment that the pace of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011946925

Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Staatsfinanzen : eine Vorausschau der Jahre 2010 bis 2014

Deuverden, Kristina van; Scheufele, Rolf - In: Wirtschaft im Wandel 16 (2010) 1, pp. 42-56

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614625

How Useful is the Carry-Over Effect for Short-Term Economic Forecasting?

Tödter, Karl-Heinz - 2016

The carry-over effect is the advance contribution of the old year to growth in the new year. Among practitioners the informative content of the carry-over effect for short-term forecasting is undisputed and is used routinely in economic forecasting. In this paper, the carry-over effect is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991080

How do firms form expectations of aggregate growth? : new evidence from a large-scale business survey

Dovern, Jonas; Müller, Lena Sophia; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2020

macroeconomic expectations is scarce. Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, we show that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194628

Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach

Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 29-54

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216351

Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach

Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - 2019

. However, official data on quarterly regional GDP in Germany are not available, and hence, regional GDP forecasts do not play …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146339

How do firms form expectations of aggregate growth? : new evidence from a large-scale business survey

Dovern, Jonas; Müller, Lena Sophia; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2020

macroeconomic expectations is scarce. Using new survey data on quantitative growth expectations of firms in Germany, we show that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261779

DIW Berlin economic outlook: global economy experiencing robust growth : Germany's recovery is delayed further

Bönke, Timm; Baldi, Guido; Engerer, Hella; Hüttl, Pia; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 14 (2024) 10/11, pp. 85-93

, which was already weighing on German economic output in 2023. Inflation, which is falling in both Germany and the euro area … households and companies to remain cautious in Germany. In addition, fiscal policy stimuli as well as foreign demand are lacking … markedly by 1.2 percent in 2025. The global economy will continue to develop more robustly than Germany; it is projected to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506705

Perspektiven der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung

Oppenländer, Karl Heinrich - In: Regionen als Wachstumsmotor : was leisten Cluster für …, (pp. 11 - 35). 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560917

The use of survey data for GKI CO. economic policy recommendation

Molnár, Lázló; Skultéty, Lázló - In: Selected papers submitted to the 23rd Ciret Conference …, (pp. 291-319). 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001420753