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Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach

Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - 2019

. However, official data on quarterly regional GDP in Germany are not available, and hence, regional GDP forecasts do not play …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146339

Nowcasting East German GDP growth : a MIDAS approach

Claudio, João Carlos; Heinisch, Katja; Holtemöller, Oliver - In: Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for … 58 (2020) 1, pp. 29-54

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216351

Perspektiven der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung

Oppenländer, Karl Heinrich - In: Regionen als Wachstumsmotor : was leisten Cluster für …, (pp. 11 - 35). 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560917

DIW Berlin economic outlook: global economy experiencing robust growth : Germany's recovery is delayed further

Bönke, Timm; Baldi, Guido; Engerer, Hella; Hüttl, Pia; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 14 (2024) 10/11, pp. 85-93

, which was already weighing on German economic output in 2023. Inflation, which is falling in both Germany and the euro area … households and companies to remain cautious in Germany. In addition, fiscal policy stimuli as well as foreign demand are lacking … markedly by 1.2 percent in 2025. The global economy will continue to develop more robustly than Germany; it is projected to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014506705

Monetary Policy and Forecasts for Real GDP Growth : An Empirical Investigation for the Federal Republic of Germany

Kirchgässner, Gebhard; Savioz, Marcel - 1999

Using quarterly data for the Federal Republic of Germany, we generate four-quarter-ahead forecasts for real GDP growth …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014212154

World economy in autumn 2023 : German economy remains on track despite significant headwinds

Gern, Klaus-Jürgen; Kooths, Stefan; Reents, Jan; … - 2023

The global economy has expanded at a very moderate pace so far in 2023, but stayed clear of the recession predicted by many for the advanced economies as a result of the massive tightening of monetary policy. In the United States in particular, the economy is proving surprisingly robust. By...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448411

Estimating fundamental cross-section dispersion from fixed event forecasts

Dovern, Jonas (contributor); Fritsche, Ulrich (contributor) - 2008

A couple of recent papers have shifted the focus towards disagreement of professional forecasters. When dealing with survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g. expectation of average annual growth rates measures of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726076

The accuracy and efficiency of the consensus forecasts : a further application and extension of the pooled approach

Ager, Philipp; Kappler, Marcus; Osterloh, Steffen - In: International journal of forecasting 25 (2009) 1, pp. 167-181

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003833299

The accuracy and efficiency of the consensus forecasts : a further application and extension of the pooled approach

Ager, Philipp (contributor); Kappler, Marcus (contributor); … - 2007

In this paper we analyze the macroeconomic forecasts of the Consensus Forecasts for 12 countries over the period from 1996 to 2006 regarding bias and information efficiency. A pooled approach is employed which permits the evaluation of all forecasts for each target variable over 24 horizons...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003545994

Survey data as a source of information for policy recommendations: a logit analysis

Adamowicz, Elżbieta (contributor) - In: Economic surveys and data analysis : CIRET Conference …, (pp. 347-370). 2002

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001747554