Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) has recently been discussed in the financial literature as an effective way to account for model uncertainty. In this paper we compare BMA to a new model uncertainty framework introduced by Yang (2004), called Aggregate Forecasting Through Exponential Reweighting,...

Theories of investment suggest that the option value of waiting to invest is significant in many branches of economics, where investment is irreversible. The existing literature has generally failed to account for the general equilibrium feedback effects of lumpy investments on optimal...

This paper extends the standard human capital model with real options. Real options influenceinvestment behavior when risky investments in human capital are irreversible and individualscan affect the timing of the investment. Option values make individuals more reluctant toinvest in human...

This paper studies how national sentiment in the form of either a perception or a loyaltybias of bettors may affect pricing patterns on national wagering markets for international sportevents. We show theoretically that both biases can be profitably exploited by bookmakers byway of price...

We give an explicit PDE characterization for the solution of a robust utility maximization problem in an incomplete market model, whose volatility, interest rate process, and long-term trend are driven by an external stochastic factor process. The robust utility functional is defined in terms of...

The literature suggests that public research and development (R&D) subsidies mayreduce market failures affecting private R&D investment caused by incompleteappropriability of knowledge and financial constraints due capital marketimperfections. Drawing on the theory of investment under...

Do the short and medium term adjustment costs associated with trade liberalization influenceschooling and child labor decisions? We examine this question in the context of India's 1991tariff reforms. Overall, in the 1990s, rural India experienced a dramatic increase in schoolingand decline in...

Bereits 1970 betrug der Anteil des Leasings an den Investitionsfinanzie-rungen drei Prozent, heute sind es bereits 17 Prozent mit zunehmender Tendenz. Der größte Anteil entfällt auf Mobilien mit ca. 90 Prozent. Bei einer Umfrage zur künftigen Bedeutung von alternativen...

This study explores individual and country-level environmental drivers of informal “seed” investment. We examine four types of informal investors based on business ownership experience (or no such experience) and close family relationship with investee (or no such relationship): “classic love...

The paper analyses the impact of venture capital finance on growth and innovation activities of young German firms. Among other variables, our panel of firm data includes data on venture capital funding and patent applications. With statistical matching procedures we draw an adequate control...