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We examine the relationship between the short-term volatility of the <em>effective</em> Real Exchange Rate (RER) and … in effective RER volatility when moving to more flexible exchange-rate regimes. Surprisingly, there are even some … countries for which volatility is lower under more flexible exchange-rate regimes. In part our findings reflect the fact that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426702
There has been a large decline in the volatility of Australian output over the past 40 years. This paper looks at the … from changes in the inventories cycle there have also been significant declines in underlying output volatility. This paper … focuses on the underlying structural factors for the reduction in volatility. It finds that the principal cause of the decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426721
the forecasts of the volatility of market rates and the correlations between the various market rates (that is, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426742
opportunities are found. Over time, the underlying payoffs randomly change, i.e. display some "volatility". In response to it …. The long-run dynamics of the process sharply depends on environmental volatility, displaying the following features: (a …) Only if volatility is not too high can the society sustain a dense social network and thus attain a large average payoff …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731257
The article proposes a new algorithm for adjusting correlation matrices and for comparison with Finger's algorithm, which is used to compute Value-at-Risk in RiskMetrics for stress test scenarios. The solution proposed by the new methodology is always better than Finger's approach in the sense...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731376
The transmission mechanisms of volatility between markets can be characterized within a new Markov Switching bivariate … the long run with a spillover from Hong Kong to Korea and Thailand, interdependence with Malaysia and comovement with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731535
is presented in this paper and evaluated by means of a simulation and a real world example of volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731539
, durations, realized volatility, daily range, and so on) which exhibit clustering and can be modeled as the product of a vector …, number of trades and realized volatility reveals empirical support for a dynamically interdependent pattern of relationships …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731543
gains over the equation by equation approach using a four variable fully interdependent model with different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731544
This paper provides a review of time series models with long memory in the mean and conditional variance, with special attention to Fractionally Integrated ARMA processes (ARFIMA) and fractionally integrated GARCH and SV processes. Their more important properties are reviewed and its application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005736263