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Business surveys are an important element in the analysis of the short-term economic situation because of the timeliness and nature of the information they convey. Especially, surveys are often involved in econometric models in order to provide an early assessment of the current state of the...
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1 Introduction -- 2. Financial Institutions : A Regulation review through the Risk Measurement prism -- 3. The Traditional Risk measures -- 4. Univariate and Multivariate Distributions -- 5. Extensions for Risk Measures: Univariate and Multivariate Approaches -- 6. Risks Measures and Dynamics --...
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The current world financial scene indicates at an intertwined and interdependent relationship between financial market activity and economic health. This book explains how the economic messages delivered by the dynamic evolution of financial asset returns are strongly related to option prices....
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This paper focuses on a procedure to test for structural changes in the first two moments of a time series, when no information about the process driving the breaks is available. We model the series as a finite-order auto-regressive process plus an orthogonal Bernstein polynomial to capture...
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We propose a transparent way of establishing a turning point chronology for the euro area business cycle. Our analysis is achieved by exploiting the concept of recurrence plots, in particular distance plots, to characterise and detect turning points of the business cycle. Firstly, we apply the...
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