Estimation Theory for Generalized Linear Models -- New Distorsion Risk Measure Based on Bimodal Distributions -- Stress Testing Engineering: Risk Vs Incident -- The Skin In The Game Heuristic for Protection Against Tail Events -- The Fragility Theorem -- Financial Modeling, Memory and...

: This paper analyzes the dynamics of the US inflation time series using two classes of models: structural change models and long memory processes. For the first class, the Markov Switching Autoregressive (MS-AR) model of Hamilton (1989) and the Structural Change-Autoregressive (SCH-AR) model...