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On the forecasting properties of the alternative leading indicators for the German GDP : recent evidence

Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič (contributor); … - 2005

In this paper we perform a comparative study of the forecasting properties of the alternative leading indicators for Germany using the growth rates of German real GDP. We use the post-unification data which cover years from 1991 through 2004. We detect a structural break in the growth rates that...