Each month, GMO publishes on the web its predictions of the real rate of return for various asset styles over the next seven years. Its web library also retains its quarterly predictions, dating back to the end of the second quarter of 2000. I ask whether these predictions are accurate. My...

This article conceptually extends a previous analysis of the impact of Offshore Assembly Provisions (OAP) upon Effective Rates of Protection (ERPs). Allowance is made for the fact that the OAP incentive to foreign assemblers to use US components will bid up the price of the components....

This paper examines the major interest groups in the debate over allowing the wholesale re-importation of prescription drugs through the Pharmaceutical Market Access Act. By making use of the logit model, we see the effects that each of these groups has had on the voting behavior of the 108 th...

We consider an economy (e.g. Chile 1973-83) with a minimum wage sector and a free sector, and a tax on labor earnings. The supply of labor depends positively on the wage. Jobs in the minimum wage sector are allocated by lottery. In such a model a minimum wage may increase employment and output...

Sugar growers have been capturing substantial rents from the U.S. sugar program. Despite well-documented huge welfare losses of this program, legislators have always voted against phasing it out. This paper uses Tobit analysis to explore the determinants of campaign contributions from the sugar...