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Improved forecasting with leading indicators : the principal covariate index
Heij, Christiaan (contributor); Dijk, Dick van (contributor) - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003484195
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Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-State Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model. An Application to the German Business Cycle
Carstensen, Kai - 2017
for Germany preselected from a broader set using the Elastic Net soft-thresholding rule. The three states represent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955198
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Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai; Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus; … - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 3, pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
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Nowcasting : identifying German cyclical turning points
Kovacs, Kevin; Boulier, Bryan L.; Stekler, Herman O. - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik 237 (2017) 4, pp. 329-341
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011866754
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Forecasting GDP growth using mixed-frequency models with switching regimes
Barsoum, Fady; Stankiewicz, Sandra - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 1, pp. 33-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327124
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A Markov switching three regime model of Tunisian business cycle
Medhioub, Imed - In: Asian African journal of economics and econometrics 13 (2013) 2, pp. 237-251
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353706
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Modeling Australian business cycle with latent information Markov switching model
Chen, Shyh-wei; Chin, Chun-tsung - In: The empirical economics letters : a monthly … 12 (2013) 1, pp. 75-82
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257988
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What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?
Chauvet, Marcelle; Senyuz, Zeynep; Yoldas, Emre - In: Journal of economic dynamics & control 52 (2015), pp. 340-360
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474221
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Mixed-frequency VAR models with Markov-switching dynamics
Camacho, Maximo - In: Economics letters 121 (2013) 3, pp. 369-373
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010391214
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Model Averaging in Markov-Switching Models : Predicting National Recessions with Regional Data
Guerin, Pierre - 2017
This paper introduces new weighting schemes for model averaging when one is interested in combining discrete forecasts from competing Markov-switching models. In the empirical application, we forecast U.S. business cycle turning points with state-level employment data. We find that forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950952