The purpose of this work is to analyze the balance-of-payments-constrained growth in Brazil considering Thirwall's Law (1979). To this end, we estimate export and import demand functions using two econometric models: vector error correction and structural state space model for the period of...

The paper develops a model of seigniorage in an open economy, linking inflation, the government budget and the external balance. It introduces financial markets and interest rates in the traditional Cagan style model of inflationary dynamics and it evaluates the experiences of Brazil and Mexico....

The balance-of-payment crisis literature can offer the basis to understand the current economic turmoil in Brazil. According to the author's calculations, the real exchange rate requires a 15% to 20% devaluation so as to assure that the intertemporal balance-of-payments constraint is not...