This paper examines the role of uncertainty shocks in a one-sector, representative-agent dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. When prices are flexible, uncertainty shocks are not capable of producing business cycle comovements among key macro variables. With countercyclical markups...

To assess the synchronization of business cycles in Europe we extract the cyclical component of industrial production in five European countries using the filter of Baxter and King (1999). The hypothesis of a joint business cycle is tested by using the frequency domain common cycle test...

Am Beispiel des Konjunkturmodells von Kaldor wird gezeigt, wie die Kontrolle eines chaotischen Systems mit begrenzten Resourcen auch dann noch durchgeführt werden kann, wenn es sich bei dem zu stabilisierenden Gleichgewicht nicht mehr um einen sogenannten Sattelpunkt handelt. Diese...

This paper explores the macroeconomics of fiscal austerity and deflation in an economy with public debt. A binding budget deficit cap destabilizes the economy by turning the government budget into an automatic destabilizer. Public debt helps maintain AD in the presence of deflation because...

The paper shows how aggregate AS-AD can be derived within the standard neoclassical dynamic setting known as the Ramsey-Cass- Koopmans (RCK) model. AS-AD is the stationary equilibrium of the deterministic dynamic general equilibrium framework. The derivation builds a permanent income type...

This paper assesses whether labor market frictions, in the form of searching and matching, can help explain movements in the labor wedge - the gap between the marginal rate of substitution (MRS) and the marginal productivity of labor in a perfectly competitive business cycle model. Results...

Seit 1971 ist dem ifo Institut die Geschäftsstelle des Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys angegliedert. Alle zwei Jahre treffen sich CIRET-Mitglieder und andere Experten zur Diskussion neuer Forschungsergebnisse. Die umfangreiche Tagesordnung der 22. CIRET-Konferenz,...

Auf der Konferenz des Center for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys wurde eine Prognose der Entwicklung der USA, Japans und der europäischen Wirtschaft vorgelegt. - Ein Schwerpunkt der Vorträge und der Diskussion lag auf der Beobachtung der Wirtschaftsentwicklung im...

In this article we argue that the evaluation and implementation of Canadian fiscal policy could be significantly improved through the systematic use of information provided by global financial markets. In particular, we show how the information contained in internationally traded asset returns...

This paper studies the implications of technical progress through investment-specific technical change in a business cycle model with search and matching frictions and endogenous job destruction. The interaction between the capital formation needed to reap the benefits of an investment-specific...