Oft wird befürchtet, dass die Globalisierung zu einer erhöhten Schwankungsanfälligkeit besonders kleiner offener Volkswirtschaften führen könnte. Auch wird vermutet, dass die nationalen Konjunkturzyklen im Zeitalter der Globalisierung synchroner verlaufen als zuvor. Sind diese Vermutungen...

We demonstrate the possibility of indeterminacy and non-existence of equilibrium dynamics in a standard business cycle model with search and matching frictions in the labor market. Our results arise for empirically plausible parametrizations and do not rely upon a mechanism such as increasing...

Capital accumulation and creative destruction is modeled together with risk-averse households. The novel aspect - risk-averse households - allows to use well-known models not only for analyzing long-run growth as in the literature but also short-run fluctuations. The model remains analytically...

Das Papier untersucht auf der Grundlage der monetären Überinvestitionstheorien von Wicksell (1898), Mises (1912) and Hayek (1929, 1935) das Scheitern von geld- und finanzpolitischen Regeln zur Kontrolle von übermäßigem Geldmengenwachstum und ausufernder Staatsverschuldung. Es zeigt...

This paper studies the dynamic volatility properties of a monetary economy in which agents hold Rational Beliefs (see Kurz (1994), (1997)) rather than Rational Expectations. Except for this feature the examined Rational Belief Equilibrium (in short, RBE) is entirely standard: markets are...

Die Austrian Business Cycle-Theorie behauptet, dass am Anfang eines konjunkturellen Aufschwungs eine kreditfinanzierte Überinvestition stattfindet, die (in der Version Garrisons und in Anlehnung an von Mises) eventuell von einer Überkonsumtion begleitet wird. Beiden Varianten liegt die...

This paper examines the role of habit persistence in consumption in explaining persistent responses of inflation and output to money growth shocks. A monetary stochastic dynamic general equilibrium (DGE) model with a money-in-the-utility-function (MIU-) setup is augmented by habit formation in...

The monetary transmission mechanism plays an important role in studying the effects of monetary policy on the real side of the economy. At least since Chari et al. (2000) it is generally accepted that new keynesian models of the business cycle display a persistence problem. In this paper, we...

Two dynamic sticky price models with monopolistic competition in the goods market are presented. In the first model, each intermediate goods producer faces quadratic costs of adjusting its nominal price as introduced by Rotemberg (1982); the second model incorporates staggered price setting as...

This paper proposes a new model-based method to obtain a coincident indicator for the business cycle. A dynamic factor model with trend components and a common cycle component is considered which can be estimated using standard maximum likelihood methods. The multivariate unobserved components...