actual employment changes. In Germany the Ifo Institute is specialized on business surveys. The German Ifo data are … for the next months. This paper analyzes whether qualitative questions about employment expectations are useful to assess … survey based indicator which helps to differentiate between an increase and an decrease in employment. All three methods …

In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European … outperforms common benchmark models. It is therefore a powerful tool for generating more accurate employment forecasts. We observe … the best results for one quarter ahead predictions that are primarily the aim of the survey question. However, employment …

In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European … outperforms common benchmark models. It is therefore a powerful tool for generating more accurate employment forecasts. We observe … the best results for one quarter ahead predictions that are primarily the aim of the survey question. However, employment …