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Forecast models with large cross-sections are often subject to overparameterization leading to unstable parameter estimates and hence inaccurate forecasts. Recent articles suggest that a large Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) with sufficient prior information dominates competing approaches....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342246
In this paper, we provide a quantitative answer to the question what types of active labour market programmes (ALMPs) work for immigrants. From the existing literature, we identify 24 research papers estimating 79 short-run treatment effects of ALMPs on immigrants. We perform a meta-analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342802
World economies, and especially European ones, have become strongly interconnected in the last decades and a joint modelling is required. We propose here the use of Copulas to build flexible multivariate distributions, since they allow for a rich dependence structure and more flexible marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343909
The current economic policy discussion on financial integration in the European Union concentrates on cross-border mergers. We study the impact of cross-border lending in a theoretical model where banks acquire either hard or soft information on borrowing firms and predict that the closer firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343928
This paper uses a new data set on budgetary institutions in Europe to examine the impact of fiscal rules and budget procedures in EU countries on public finances. It briefly describes the main pattern of budgetary institutions and their determinants across the EU 15 member states. Empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343939
We analyze the duration of the patent examination process at the European Patent Office (EPO). Our data contain information related to the patent's economic and technical relevance, EPO capacity and workload as well as novel citation measures which are derived from the EPO's search reports. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343943
I develop a model of R&D cooperation with uncertain research outcomes. In this model asymmetric outcomes of R&D competition emerge naturally. Therefore ex-ante and ex-post R&D cooperation can be studied as alternatives for firms. Using this model I compare welfare losses under ex-ante and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343965
The analysis of how the economic crisis in Europe has reshaped migration flows faces two challenges: (i) the confounding influence of correlated changes in the attractiveness of alternative destinations, and (ii) the role of rapidly changing expectations about the evolution of the economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344609
This paper analyses the importance of German wage moderation in the context of European imbalances. Using information from a New Keynesian small open economy model with labor market frictions, we derive sign restrictions for a wage markup shock. This information enables us to identify a German...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010344636
The global dimension of environmental problems stresses the need of an internationally linked environmental environmental policy. The example of climate change policy shows, that environmental policy has to be a subject of a globally oriented international policy formulating operational targets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346869