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Cogley and Sargent provide us with a very useful tool for empirical macroeconomics: a Gibbs sampler for the estimation of VARs with drifting coefficients and volatilities. The authors apply the tool to a VAR with three variables — inflation, unemployment, and the nominal interest rate — and...
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posteriors imply substantial variation of all of these objects for post WWII U.S. data. After adjusting for changes in volatility …
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than you think.", respectively. We use vector autoregression with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to …
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