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According to a growing body of empirical literature, global shocks have become less important for business cycles in industrialized countries and emerging market economies since the mid-1980s. In this paper, we analyze the question of what might have caused a decoupling from the global business...
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We develop a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility, estimate it with several … findings, the estimates suggest that global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904508
We build a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility and use it to decompose the … common global uncertainty plays a primary role in explaining the volatility of inflation, interest rates and stock prices …, although to a varying extent over time. Region-specific uncertainty drives most of the exchange rate volatility for all Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011856363
We propose a dynamic factor model with time-varying parameters and stochastic volatility to analyze the relationship … country-specific capital flow volatility and that the impact of these variables has become even more important since the 2008 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929696
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of volatility, ARCH and GARCH criteria. Some of the controversies relating to financial globalization are reviewed and a … vulnerability to exogenous shocks, thereby increasing macroeconomic volatility. The paper compares the increase in exchange rate … volatility in the post-float (1983Q4) and pre-float periods using measures measures such as standard deviation and Schwert index …
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volatility depends on the nature of the underlying shock. Empirical evidence supports this conclusion. Our results also show that … the link between business cycle volatility and financial openness has not been stable over time …
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