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We discover mispricing in an apparently transparent market — the European soccer betting market. Efficiency differences between countries are accounted for by variations in league competitiveness. We conclude that barriers to efficiency (e.g., risk evaluation problems) may remain in...
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This paper examines the degree to which current prices discount historical prices in a market for state contingent claims. Conditional logit analysis is employed to predict winning probabilities, based on market prices in a betting market. These are used, together with various wagering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583216
In recent years leading figures in a variety of fields - political, financial, medical, and organizational - have become acutely aware of the need to effectively incorporate aspects of risk into their decision-making. This book addresses a wide range of contemporary issues in decision research,...
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Analysis of UK financial sector bonus schemes in the years immediately prior to the financial crisis of 2008/09 reveals significant changes in their structure and complexity. In terms of the determinants of levels of bonus award, leverage as a measure of risk exposure is not significant, whilst...
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<italic>We examine racetrack betting market inefficiency. We argue that the overround -- an established measure of inefficiency -- may be seen as a reflection of bookmakers' collusive returns maximising behaviour, rather than simply as their response to an adverse selection problem. We test, and find...</italic>
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