Chu, LanFen; McAleer, Michael; Chen, Chi-Chung - Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - 2010
purpose of this paper is to analyze these two indexes in order to capture the volatility inherent in ENSO. The empirical … results show that both the ARMA(1,1)-GARCH(1,1) and ARMA(3,2)-GJR(1,1) models are suitable for modelling ENSO volatility …