In this study, we analyze the reaction of the U.S. Treasury bond market to innovations in macroeconomic fundamentals. We identify these innovations based on macroeconomic news, which are defined as differences between the actual releases and market expectations. We find that that macroeconomic...

The goal of this paper is to analyze the effect of OTC-DVP (over the counter delivery versus payment) fixed income market introduction in Slovenia on the term structure estimation and on the volatility of zero coupon yields and forward interest rates. For the purpose of the analysis Slovenian...

The paper estimates conditional pricing models for 11 international government bonds and shows that, while local instruments capture the change in the bonds' risks, global instruments model the variation in the factor risk premia. Altogether the changes in the factor risk premium capture 78.25%...

Purportedly consistent with “risk parity” (RP) asset allocation, recent studies document compelling “low risk” trading strategies that exploit a persistently negative relation between Sharpe ratios (SRs) and maturity along the U.S. Treasury (UST) term structure. This paper extends this...

Analyzing a novel collateral haircut dataset, this paper investigates the relations between the collateral haircuts and the yields of Euro-area central government bonds. The empirical analysis shows that investors demand higher yields for bonds with higher collateral haircuts. The importance of...

This paper discusses the predictive role of alternative measures of the liquidity premium of TIPS relative to Treasury bonds for government excess bond returns. The results show that the liquidity premium predicts positive (negative) TIPS (nominal Treasury) excess returns. The explanatory power...

Our new model of consumption-based habit formation preferences generates loglinear, homoskedastic macroeconomic dynamics and time-varying risk premia on bonds and stocks. Consumers' first-order condition for the real risk-free interest rate takes the form of an exactly loglinear consumption...

Although the federal funds rate started rising from mid-2004 US long term rates continued to fall. A likely contributory factor to this conundrum was the contemporaneous increase in US bond demand. Using ARDL-based models, which accommodate structural breaks, this paper estimates the impact of...

Purportedly consistent with “risk parity” (RP) asset allocation, recent studies document compelling “low risk” trading strategies that exploit a persistently negative relation between Sharpe ratios (SRs) and maturity along the U.S. Treasury (UST) term structure. This paper extends this...