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We study the relation between international mutual fund flows and the different return components of aggregate equity and bond markets. First, we decompose international equity and bond market returns into changes in expectations of future real cash payments, interest rates, exchange rates, and...
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This study examines the behavior of sovereign bonds to COVID-19 related news in 24 countries most affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. The study applies a continuous Hidden Markov Model (HMM) to analyze the regime shifting behavior of sovereign bonds to the news. The results show that the COVID-19...
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We study compound returns to nearly 62,000 global common stocks during the 1990 to 2018 period, documenting that the majority, 56% of US stocks and 61% of non-US stocks, under perform one-month US Treasury bills over the full sample. Focusing on aggregate shareholder wealth creation measured in...
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