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We introduce a methodology which deals with possibly integrated variables in the specification of the betas of conditional asset pricing models. In such a case, any model which is directly derived by a polynomial approximation of the functional form of the conditional beta will inherit a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012138849
Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. We nd that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identi ed previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012150128
This paper provides some test cases, called circuits, for the evaluation of Gaussian likelihood maximization algorithms of the cointegrated vector autoregressive model. Both I(1) and I(2) models are considered. The performance of algorithms is compared first in terms of effectiveness, defined as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011781891
in Germany, France, Spain and Italy from the year 2003 to 2018. We look for the cointegration and causality relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012318168
's tests to detect a cointegration relationship significantly deteriorates under two empirically plausible circumstances: (i … ) when, in addition to a cointegration relationship, a system features one or more "nuisance" series - i.e., series driven by … permanent shocks different from those driving the cointegration relationship; and (ii ) when a system features multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824292
Since World War I, M1 velocity has been, to a close approximation, the permanent component of the short-term nominal rate. This logically implies that, under monetary regimes which cause inflation to be I(0), permanent fluctuations in M1 velocity uniquely reflect, to a close approximation,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824315
Since World War II, permanent interest rate shocks have driven nearly all of the fluctuations of U.S. M1 velocity, which is cointegrated with the short rate, and most of the long-horizon variation in the velocity of M2-M1. Permanent velocity shocks specific to M2-M1, on the other hand, have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011824316
Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. After including two broken trends and a few dummies to account for shifts in the variables following the global financial crisis and the ECB's non-standard monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974516
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657091
cointegration parameters. Algorithms for (constrained) maximum likelihood estimation are presented, and asymptotic properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710948