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were formulated and tested concerning the volatility of spot and future contract prices, effect of Spot closing prices on … volatility has been observed in the prices of spot and future contracts of the chosen agricultural commodities. The spot and …
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We analyze the determinants of daily futures price volatility in corn, soybeans, wheat, and oats markets from 1986 to … allows us to clearly distinguish among time-to-delivery effects, seasonality, calendar trend, and volatility persistence. We … find strong evidence of time-to-delivery (Samuelson) effects and systematic seasonal components with volatility increasing …
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This study investigates price volatility and hedging behavior of four notional commodity futures indices which … of June 8, 2005 to August 31, 2010 have been employed to measure the volatility and hedge ratio. A GARCH (1, 1) model was … employed to measure the spot return volatility of respective indices. DVECH-GARCH, BEKK-GARCH and CCC-GARCH were utilized to …
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In this paper, we investigate jump spillover effects between five energy (petroleum) futures. In order to identify the latent historical jumps of each energy futures, we use a Bayesian MCMC approach to estimate a jump-diffusion model on each energy futures. We examine the simultaneous jump...
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aversion, and the volatility of futures prices. In the end we observe a stabilizing effect on spot prices for weakly coupled …
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