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Problem Definition: In this paper, we develop a forecast anchoring model that explains and predicts order variability behavior in a multi-period newsvendor problem. Our model assumes that people anchor on random point forecast (hence the name) and insufficiently adjust toward the...
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This paper extends my research applying statistical decision theory to treatment choice with sample data, using maximum regret to evaluate the performance of treatment rules. The specific new contribution is to study as-if optimization using estimates of illness probabilities in clinical choice...
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Conflicting rankings corresponding to alternative performance criteria and measures are mostly reported in the mono-criterion evaluation of competing distress prediction models (DPMs). To overcome this issue, this study extends the application of the expert system to corporate credit risk and...
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