Using wavelet analysis, this paper shows empirically that Japanese stock prices contain predictive information on business turning points since the middle of the 1980s. The average leading period is about 13 months.

The Bank of Japan adopted the Quantitative Easing (QE) Policy from March 2001 to March 2006. This paper investigates whether or not this QE had an effect in stimulating real economy in Japan. The identification of policy effect in the above Japanese case enables us to evaluate indirectly the...

type="main" <p>The effectiveness of nontraditional monetary policy is controversial, at least in Japan. Making use of data from the quantitative easing monetary policy period, this paper presents statistical evidence on the effectiveness of nontraditional monetary policy. We demonstrate empirically...</p>

The purpose of this paper is to provide objective statistical evidence on the effectiveness of nontraditional monetary policy. The quantitative easing monetary policy, adopted by the Bank of Japan for the period from March 2001 to March 2006, had a stimulating effect on investment and production...