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This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...
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intense herding state are 0.26% lower per month over a six-month holding period than following an adverse herding state. Our … results are robust to using risk-adjusted returns and a continuous herding variable. Intense herding emerges during periods of … lower returns and higher volatility than adverse herding …
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