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Risk neutral densities (RND) can be used to forecast the price of the underlying basis for the option, or it may be used to price other derivates based on the same sequence. The method adopted in this paper to calculate the RND is to firts estimate daily the diffusion process of the underlying...
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proposes an estimate of the neutral band based on the one-step-ahead density forecast obtained from a stochastic volatility … stochastic volatility models have the best fit and forecasting performance, hence superior neutral band estimates. …
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