Das vorliegende Dokument ist die Stellungnahme zum ersten Fortschrittsbericht und zum jährlichen Monitoring-Bericht der Bundesregierung. Im Fortschrittsbericht 2014 soll im Unterschied zu den rein faktenbasierten und vergangenheitsbezogenen Monitoring-Berichten eine weitreichendere Beurteilung...

Anders als im Steuerrecht existieren in der Sozialversicherung keine Kinderfreibeträge. In diesem Gutachten wird ihre Einführung - beschränkt auf die Beiträge zur gesetzlichen Rentenversicherung - untersucht. Abgeschätzt wurden zunächst die Erstrundeneffekte, also die Entlastungswirkungen...

This paper uses the European Monetary Union (EMU) as a natural experiment to investigate whether more effective monetary policy reduces the persistence of inflation. Taking into account the fractional integration of inflation, we confirm that inflation dynamics differed considerably across Euro...

The prominent role of monetary policy in the U.S. interwar depression has been conventional wisdom since Friedman and Schwartz [1963]. This paper presents evidence on both the surprise and the systematic components of monetary policy between 1929 and 1933. Doubts surrounding GDP estimates for...

Overnight money market rates are the predominant operational target of monetary policy. As a consequence, central banks have redesigned the implementation of monetary policy to keep the deviations of the overnight rate from the key policy rate small and short-lived. This paper uses fractional...

Porter Hypothesis states that environmental regulation may lead to win-win opportunities, that is, improve the productivity and reduce the undesirable output simultaneously. Based on directional distance function, this paper proposes a novel dynamic activity analysis model to forecast the...