Introduction Part I. The Structure of Financial Crises 1. Capital Structure and Policy Collapse: The Financial Crisis of the Late 1990s 2. Market Structure Issues Part II. Global Liquidity and Capital Flows 3. Why Does Ric-Country Capital Flow to Poor Countries? 4. 180 Years of Liquidity...

Intro -- Contents -- I. INTRODUCTION -- II. EVOLUTION OF SOVEREIGN DEBT LEVELS -- A. Evolution of Debt Levels in the Immediate Post-Crisis Period -- B. Evidence on Debt Reversals -- C. External Debt versus Domestic Debt -- III. CHANGES IN THE STRUCTURE OF SOVEREIGN DEBT -- A. External Public...

The paper examines the evolution of public sector debt levels and structures in 12 emerging market countries around the time of financial crises. In particular, it focuses on whether the debt situation of sovereign borrowers became more vulnerable in the aftermath of crises. The principal...

We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg...

This paper proposes an approach to track US$1 trillion of emerging market government debt held by foreign investors in local and hard currency, based on a similar approach that was used for advanced economies (Arslanalp and Tsuda, 2012). The estimates are constructed on a quarterly basis from...

The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists' analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, and...

How do financial markets respond to concerns over debt sustainability and the level of public debt in emerging markets? We introduce a measure of debt sustainability – the difference between the debt stabilizing primary balance and the primary balance–in an otherwise standard spread...

The financial crisis and its ensuing effects have brought back into the limelight the issue of cycles and of policies which fuel or mitigate crises. Cognitive and operational models in economics and business are questioned. There is a specter of much lower economic growth in the industrialized...