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Cho, Cooley, and Kim (RED, 2015) (CCK) consider the welfare effects of removing multiplicative productivity shocks from real business cycle models. In a model that admits an analytical solution they argue convincingly that the positive welfare effect of removing uncertainty can be dominated by a...
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productivity and aggregate business cycle risk. We show analytically that the whole welfare benefit from joint insurance against … both risks is greater than the sum of benefits from insurance against the isolated risk components. One reason is the … convexity of the welfare gain in total risk. The other reason is a direct risk interaction which amplifies the utility losses …
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to realised rainfall shocks, consistent with a trade-off between optimism about the future and risk …
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