Previous evidence suggests that the implied volatility from equity index options, as a measure of stock market uncertainty, can provide "forward-looking information" about the stock–bond return correlation. This paper uses an alternative regime-switching autoregressive model to characterize...

Important financial risks facing the airline industry include interest-rate, currency and fuel-price risk. This paper estimates the exposure to these risks within the airline industry of Australia and New Zealand, using both linear and non-linear specifications, for a variety of horizon lengths....

This paper provides Australian evidence, obtained during unusual trading conditions, on put call parity theory. The empirical results show that observed violations of the theory are insufficient to indicate that economic profits can be derived therefrom after allowing for normal transaction...

We present an empirical model of systemic banking crises from an Australian perspective. Having no history of domestic banking crises in recent history, our quantitative model is estimated using an international panel data set spanning 18 countries and 30 years of observations. We evaluate in a...

This paper develops, analyses and implements an early warning tool for systemic risk in banks and financial entities. The tool is based on a refined approach to stress testing. Calculations performed on Australian bank data are shown to predict past distress. Risk is measured as a function of...

SRISK methodology recently proposed in the literature is refined and extended. The refinement is to define systemic risk using a formalised stress testing framework including a stress function. Baseline risk and the stress risk are in terms of the ordinary and stressed expectation. Stressed...