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This paper presents a model of business cycles driven by shocks to consumer expectations regarding aggregate productivity. Agents are hit by heterogeneous productivity shocks, they observe their own productivity and a noisy public signal regarding aggregate productivity. The shock to this public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760694
This paper presents a model of business cycles driven by shocks to consumer expectations regarding aggregate productivity. Agents are hit by heterogeneous productivity shocks, they observe their own productivity and a noisy public signal regarding aggregate productivity. The shock to this public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466187
can decelerate growth in the absence of any level shocks. In contrast to level risk, which is always welfare reducing for … a risk-averse household, volatility risk can increase or decrease welfare, depending on model parameters. When … calibrated to U.S. data, the model finds that the welfare cost of volatility risk is largely negligible under plausible model …
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